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A recent US Bureau of Statistics analysis of data shows that parts of the student loan relief plan announced by the administration last month — one of the largest ever — will wipe out most borrowers’ student loans entirely.
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The plan would forgive up to $10,000 in federal student loans for individuals earning less than $125,000 a year and married couples earning less than $250,000 a year. In addition, income-eligible individuals who receive Pell Grants can reduce their student loans by up to $20,000.
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The bureau’s recently released 2021 Survey of Income and Program Participation (SIPP) provides information on student loans as of December 31, 2020. Pandemic policies allowed borrowers to suspend payments without interest, although loan balances usually change within two years .
SIPP data for 2021 shows that the $10,000 student loan reduction plan will eliminate balances for 29.0% of student loan borrowers, with some demographic groups benefiting more than others.
Also, payments made after March 2020 can be refunded and later forgiven. For this reason, student loan balances in 2020 will serve approximately 2022 loan balances.
In this article, we examine the extent to which adults without at least a high school degree who did not attend college would benefit from this proposed policy, assuming that all student debt reported in SIPP is federal and no one has student debt. Less than $10,000.
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The largest declines are expected among Hispanic individuals with an associate’s degree. Deducting $10,000 in student loans reduces the percentage with each student loan from 14.4% to 7.7%.
The estimated erasure of student loans was the largest for non-Hispanic associate degree holders in the same race-education group.
People with advanced degrees are expected to experience the smallest reductions in student loan debt, varying between 1.6 and 3.2 percent across racial and ethnic groups. These reductions are small compared to the percentage of all student loan debt before forgiveness.
Possible reasons for educational differences: Larger debts or higher incomes make them less eligible for loan forgiveness. Advanced degree holders had higher student loan debt ($69,000) on average than associate degree holders ($22,000).
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Based on income, the proportion of advanced graduates with student loans who qualify for loan forgiveness is 75.6% for black borrowers and 85.6% for non-white Hispanics. Non-black or white includes Asian, American Indian or Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian or other Pacific Islander, and people of mixed race.
Women generally earn less than men and are more likely to carry student loans than men. This can make it difficult for them to repay their student loans.
Black and Hispanic women are estimated to experience the largest percentage reductions with each student loan from the $10,000 relief plan: 5.4 and 4.7 percentage points, respectively.
Because student loans are sometimes high relative to income, student loans can go hand in hand with other unsecured loans. This means that student loan forgiveness can have a significant impact on individuals’ overall unsecured debt load.
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Unsecured loans – such as student, credit card or medical loans – are not backed by an asset the way a home mortgage is, because lenders cannot repay one’s education if the person defaults on the student loan.
Reducing student loan debt by $10,000 reduces the total amount of unsecured obligations for all student loan holders by an average of 33.0%.
Hispanic individuals without a high school degree (43.2%) and an associate’s degree (38.4%) are expected to experience the largest reductions in unsecured debt. Hispanic individuals who are neither white nor black with a high school degree but a college degree (51.7%) and an associate’s degree (52.2%) are expected to experience the greatest reductions in unemployment rates.
A $10,000 reduction in student loans is expected to have little effect on unsecured debt for those with advanced degrees: between 17.5% and 24.2% of unsecured debt across racial and ethnic groups.
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The strength of the SIPP data—and survey data more generally—is not to measure the total number of borrowers that completely eliminate student loans or the total amount of outstanding student loans.
Instead, the strength of the SIPP data is the rich description of who benefits from student loan forgiveness and how much of a difference it can make in the context of student loan debt and other debt.
As a result, future SIPP data will show how student loan forgiveness affects sample members’ student loan balances and subsequent effects on their family education, business education, program participation, and well-being (financial or otherwise).
SIPP borrowers are not asked whether their student loans are federal or private. Other sources estimate that private student loans accounted for less than 15% of total student loans in 2012. Therefore, this research assumes that all student loans are federal, and this assumption biases the debt load upward.
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SIPP does not collect information about Pell Grant recipients who receive loan relief up to $20,000 in federal student loans. This research assumes a student loan debt of less than $10,000, which has an impact on the debt load.
The SIPP is a nationally representative, longitudinal survey administered by the Bureau that provides detailed information on the dynamics of income, employment, household structure and participation in government programs.
Michael D. King and Mark A. Klee are survey statisticians in the Bureau’s Social, Economic and Housing Statistics Division.
STORY AMERICAN EDUCATION WEEK STATISTICS: November 13-19, 2022 November 13, 2022 In the United States, spending per student (public pre-K through 12th grade) was $13,494 in fiscal year 2020, up $2.33 from 410% and 2000 increased. of millions. Statistics for Back to School Stories 2022: August 2022 August 2022 October 2020 The current population survey showed a total of 73.2 million students enrolled in school, which is 23.3 percent of the population aged 3 and over. STORY FOR COMMUNITY COLLEGE MONTH: April 2023 April 2023 In 2021, the Current Population Survey estimates the number of college students enrolled in two-year institutions at 3.5M, down 2.2M from 5.7M in 2011. Data Tool COVID-19 Data Hub This website provides users with demographic risk factor variables along with economic data on 20 major industries affected by the coronavirus.
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